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August Week 3, 2006 |
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Monday August 14 , 2006 One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results. Milton Friedman, economist, Novel laureate (1912- ) (Example below)
Today was busy, we went to the Cancer Care Clinic, they made an appointment for an MRI today at at Inland Imaging, we went to a Medical supply house to get some TED Hose for Christy's leg, she actually ended up with pantyhose... it looks like that ACE Bandage ankle support stuff only it covers her from waist to toe. After one other stop and the MRI we had dinner at Tomato Street and came home... a full day. Tuesday August 15 , 2006
“Kids don’t have a little brother working in the coal mine,
they don’t have a little sister coughing her lungs out in the looms of the
big mill towns of the Northeast. Why? Because we organized; we broke the
back of the sweatshops in this country; we have child labor laws. Those were
not benevolent gifts from enlightened management. They were fought for, they
were bled for, they were died for by working people, by people like us. Kids
ought to know that. That’s why I sing these songs. That’s why I tell these
stories, dammit. No root, no fruit!”
Bruce “Utah” Phillips
Songwriter, Storyteller, Humorist, Philosopher, 1935–
Not feeling well, I think I am coming down with something, I'm not sleeping well and I feel like hell... We still have to go to Liberty Lake tomorrow, we have an appointment to get the KIA's AC fixed... no way to pass... We also promised the girls that we would take them shopping for clothes... no way out...Oh well. Wednesday August 16 , 2006 "We, the
people, are not free, Our democracy is but a name. We vote? What does that mean?
It means we choose between Tweedledee and Tweedledum. We elect expensive masters
to do our work for us, and then blame them because they work for themselves and
for their class." 06:15... Off to Liberty Lake... we got to the KIA Dealership with 15 minutes to spare at 08:15, We rented a car from Enterprise and went to breakfast, had a not quite mediocre dining experience at Denny's and then went to Wal-mart... We bought some essentials and some clothes for Autumn. ... then we went to Beaudry Motorsports... I could live there... What an awesome Motorcycle dealership. They had bikes there I had only seen pictures of and some I had never even heard of... I talked to the sales guy about trading in both my bikes on a used BMW and it was a do-able deal, I will ponder it for a few days... I hate to get rid of either of my bikes but realistically the Beemer is getting old and the Suzuki is just plain scary up here in the forest primeval... I tore myself away and drove... ... off to The Valley Mall, a shrine spoken of in hushed and reverent tones by teenaged girls for 200 miles in any direction. Calie and Monica had a very nice time and cleaned us out of petty cash for about 3 months... pheew... glad that's over with. ... meanwhile, back at the KIA Dealership the gremlins in starched blue uniforms were tearing away at the bowels of the Air Conditioning System in our little Mini Van... I got a call about noon saying that they had found the problem, the compressor's clutch bearings had fried and the gremlins were replacing it as we spoke... I asked what it would cost, he said; "It's all under warrantee Mr. Daggett." I am here to tell you, that absolutely made my day, I didn't even care if the girls were putting me in the poorhouse. ... It was such a good day I capped it off by buying everyone ice-cream at the Cold Stone Ice-Cream Parlor... we got home at 19:30. Thursday August 17 , 2006 Ignorance, allied with power, is the most ferocious enemy justice can have. -James Baldwin, writer (1924-1987) I didn't accomplish a damn thing today, went to breakfast with Christy and took the kids to the swimming hole... I guess that yesterday was too long a day. Learned two new words today:
AND:
Dystopia is a word I could use to describe the way I think the country is headed and Farrago is a pretty apt description of this website. Friday August 18 , 2006 You will not be punished for your anger, you will be punished by your anger. Buddha. Hindu Prince Gautama Siddhartha, the founder of Buddhism, 563-483 B.C. Everything I neglected doing yesterday is still undone today... Calie went out and caught some Bass with her boyfriend they had about 10 of them... Interesting phenomenon airing itself in Washington, Rep. Jeb Hensarling, a Texas Republican on the House Budget Committee. said "Just as we predicted, tax revenues have increased - and as a result, the budget deficit has dropped." Sounds good doesn't it, what the slimy bastards aren't telling you that it has dropped from a Negative $371 Billion dollars to a measly Negative $283 Billion we are hemorrhaging money at an outrageous rate and those clowns are gloating about it. Makes me crazy, lies, innuendo, half truths and spin... it is so hard to find the truth. TV is awful the way it presents the lewd and violent garbage as news, biased pundits as bipartisan. Here is just two days of headlines from, Media Matters;
I am fully aware of the fact that there is absolutely no way to please everyone, Liberals and Conservatives will find fault with the way any news item is presented but what gets my goat is when outright lies and flagrant bias goes unchallenged... Bill O'Reilly, Rush Limbaugh. Ann Coulter and their ilk are self serving entertainers, what they do is throw gasoline on the fire and pander to the bigotry, bias and intolerance of their demographic. I am through wasting any energy on them, what I am concerned about is the spin doctors on the major news outlets who parrot the talking points of the GOP and Big Business. From Molly Ivins Column:
Saturday August 19 , 2006 Condemnation without investigation is the height of ignorance.
Albert Einstein
Sunday August 20 , 2006 The trouble with ignorance is that it picks up confidence as it goes along. Anonymous SO OSAMA WALKS INTO TO THIS BAR, SEE?by Greg Palast So, Osama Walks into This Bar, See? and Bush says, "Whad'l'ya have, pardner?" and Osama says... But wait a minute. I'd better shut my mouth. The sign here in the airport says, "Security is no joking matter." But if security's no joking matter, why does this guy dressed in a high-school marching band outfit tell me to dump my Frappuccino and take off my shoes? All I can say is, Thank the Lord the "shoe bomber" didn't carry Semtex in his underpants. Today's a RED and ORANGE ALERT day. How odd. They just caught the British guys with the chemistry sets. But when these guys were about to blow up airliners, the USA was on YELLOW alert. That's a "lowered" threat notice. According to the press office from the Department of Homeland Security, lowered-threat Yellow means that there were no special inspections of passengers or cargo. Isn't it nice of Mr. Bush to alert Osama when half our security forces are given the day off? Hmm. I asked an Israeli security expert why his nation doesn't use these pretty color codes. He asked me if, when I woke up, I checked the day's terror color. "I can't say I ever have. I mean, who would?" He smiled. "The terrorists." America is the only nation on the planet that kindly informs bombers, hijackers and berserkers the days on which they won't be monitored. You've got to get up pretty early in the morning to get a jump on George Bush's team. There are three possible explanations for the Administration's publishing a good-day-for-bombing color guidebook. 1. God is on Osama's side. 2. George is on Osama's side. 3. Fear sells better than sex. A gold star if you picked #3.
The Fear Factory I'm going to tell you something which is straight-up heresy: America is not under attack by terrorists. There is no WAR on terror because, except for one day five years ago, al Qaeda has pretty much left us alone. That's because Osama got what he wanted. There's no mystery about what Al Qaeda was after. Like everyone from the Girl Scouts to Bono, Osama put his wish on his web site. He had a single demand: "Crusaders out of the land of the two Holy Places." To translate: get US troops out of Saudi Arabia. And George Bush gave it to him. On April 29, 2003, two days before landing on the aircraft carrier Lincoln, our self-described "War President" quietly put out a notice that he was withdrawing our troops from Saudi soil. In other words, our cowering cowboy gave in whimpering to Osama's demand. The press took no note. They were all wiggie over Bush's waddling around the carrier deck in a disco-aged jump suit announcing, "MISSION ACCOMPLISHED." But it wasn't America's mission that was accomplished, it was Osama's. Am I saying there's no danger, no threat? Sure there is: 46 million Americans don't have health insurance. IBM is legally stealing from its employees' pension plan and United Airlines has dumped its pensions altogether. Four-million three-hundred thousand Americans were injured, made sick or killed by their jobs last year. TXU Corporation is right now building four monster-sized power plants in Texas that will burn skuzzy gunk called "lignite." The filth it will pour into the sky will snuff a heck of a lot more Americans than some goofy group of fanatics with bottles of hydrogen peroxide. But Americans don't ask for real protection from what's killing us. The War on Terror is the Weapon of Mass Distraction. Instead of demanding health insurance, we have 59 million of our fellow citizens pooping in their pants with fear of Al Qaeda, waddling to the polls, crying, "Georgie save us!" And what does he give us? In my own small town, the federal government has paid for loading an SUV with .50 caliber machine guns to watch for an Al Qaeda attack at the dock of the ferry that takes tourists to the Indian casino in Connecticut. The casino dock is my town's officially designated "Critical Asset and Vulnerability Infrastructure Point (CAVIP)." (To find the most vulnerable points to attack in the USA, Al Qaeda can download a list from the Department of Homeland Security -- no kidding.) But that's not all. Bush is protecting us from English hijackers with a fearsome anti-terrorist tool: the Virginia-class submarine. The V-boat was originally meant to hunt Soviet subs. But there are no more Soviet subs. So, General Dynamics and Lockheed Martin have "refitted" these Cold War dinosaurs with new torpedoes redesigned to carry counter-terror commandoes. That's right: when we find Osama's beach house, we can shoot our boys right up under his picnic table and take him out. These Marines-in-a-tube injector boats cost $2.5 billion each -- and our President's ordered half a dozen new ones. Lynn Cheney, the Veep's wife, still takes in compensation from Lockheed as a former board member. I'm sure that has nothing to do with this multi-billion dollar "anti-terror" contract. Fear sells better than sex. Fear is the sales pitch for many lucrative products: from billion-dollar sailor injectors to one very lucrative war in Mesopotamia (a third of a trillion dollars doled out, no audits, no questions asked). Better than toothpaste that makes our teeth whiter than white, this stuff will make us safer than safe. It's political junk food, the cheap filling in the flashy tube. What we don't get is safety from the real dangers: a life-threatening health-care system, lung-murdering pollution production and a trade deficit with China that's reducing mid-America to coolie status. Protecting us from these true threats would take a slice of the profits of the Lockheeds, the Exxons and the rest of the owning class. War on Terror is class war by other means -- to keep you from asking for real protection from true menace, the landlords of our nation give you fake protection from manufactured dangers. And they remind you to be afraid every time you fly to see Aunt Millie and have to give up your hemorrhoid ointment to the underpaid guy in the bell-hop suit with a security badge. Oh, hey, you never got the punch line. ***** Greg Palast is the author of the just-released New York Times bestseller, "ARMED MADHOUSE: Who's Afraid of Osama Wolf?, China Floats Bush Sinks, the Scheme to Steal '08, No Child's Behind Left and other Dispatches from the Front Lines of the Class War" from which this is adapted. Go to www.GregPalast.com. Posted on Tuesday, August 15 @ 09:53:50 EDT This article has been read 3132 times.
"We should prepare to go on the offensive. Our aim is to smash Lebanon, Trans-Jordan, and Syria. The weak point is Lebanon, for the Moslem regime is artificial and easy for us to undermine. We shall establish a Christian state there, and then we will smash the Arab Legion, eliminate Trans-Jordan; Syria will fall to us. We then bomb and move on and take Port Said, Alexandria and Sinai."I have been stunned by many things on the US political scene since I was jerked violently awake on Nov. 22, 1963. However, one thing that simply flew under the cuckoo's nest of my awareness was the total influence on our Congress; the control of our media, our courts, our universities, our entire society -- even our religion -- by the state of Israel. I had no idea. I've learned a lot about both Israel and the United States in the last five years -- most of which I fervently wish I didn't know. I learned very quickly in the wake of 9-11 that the neoconservatives in the US claim an ideological right -- the Zionists in Israel a theological right -- to do whatever they want to whomever they want whenever they want, and those who question their increasingly bloody aggression are labeled "anti-American" or "anti-Semitic." Those who protest are ostracized from both religious and patriotic society (not to be confused with "civilized" society) and are immediately bombarded with ridicule and vicious ad hominems. Some receive death threats. Some receive death. I learned that there is a vast difference between Jews, or people of Israel, and the warmongering Zionists who control the state of Israel, just as there is between most American citizens and the cowardly neo-fascist chickenhawks who control the United States. The people of both regimes cry out against the barbaric genocide and ethnic cleansing perpetrated in their name -- they shriek, they march in protest, but the world media pushed the "mute" button long ago, and no sound emerges from the weeping masses. As these two "democracies" force their way across the Middle East, it's as if Charles Manson is stalking the innocent with a mad dog on a leash. Neither can be reasoned with, and no living creature in their path is safe. But it is easy to tell where they've been, because the landscape is littered with rotting corpses of innocent men, women and children, with mass graves and displaced millions fleeing for their lives. From the Frying Pan... The current conflict raging in the Middle East has less to do with self-defense or protecting the homeland than with zionist politics, Christo-fascist talking points and corporate media spin. It is a war of extermination -- a carefully planned crusade for world dominion, and it has been simmering on US and Israeli back burners for decades. Every writer addressing this subject since George Bush was fraudently installed in the White House has pleaded with Americans to pay attention to the plan, "Rebuilding America's Defenses: Strategy, Forces and Resources for a New Century" penned by Dick Cheney while he was defense secretary, by Donald Rumsfeld, Scooter Libby, Paul Wolfowitz and Jeb Bush, which calls for seizing the world's resources and establishing permanent military bases throughout the Middle East. That plan was immediately put in place and is being relentlessly carried out. Ninety pages too formidable? Okay, try the September 2002 "National Security Strategy of the United States of America," whose 35 pages puts in place a barbaric pre-emptive war policy that destroys 230 years of honor, dignity, decency -- and democracy. This manifesto was also written by Cheney and Wolfowitz, and is a direct result of behind-the-scenes input from then Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Colin Powell. In his article, "Dick Cheney's Song of America," David Armstrong writes, "In early 1992, as Powell and Cheney campaigned to win congressional support for their augmented Base Force plan, a new logic entered into their appeals. The United States, Powell told members of the House Armed Services Committee, required "sufficient power" to "deter any challenger from ever dreaming of challenging us on the world stage." To emphasize the point, he (Powell) cast the United States in the role of street thug. "I want to be the bully on the block," he said, implanting in the mind of potential opponents that "there is no future in trying to challenge the armed forces of the United States." Armstrong's article is 11 easy-to-read, eye-opening pages and was entered into the Congressional Record by Rep. John Larson (D-CT) in Oct. 10, 2002 -- one month after Cheney's National Security Strategy was released. If you're wondering what these homework assignments have to do with what's going on in Lebanon, Israel and Gaza today, take a look at "A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm," a document written in 1996 by neoconservatives Douglas Feith, Richard Perle and David Wurmser, among others, for incoming Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. No more Mr. Good Guy when dealing with the Palestinians, "A Clean Break" calls for a hot pursuit policy -- in effect, a familiar smoke 'em out, get 'em on the run and chase 'em clean out of the realm. Those who choose to stay and fight for their land will die. It's their choice. "Clean Break," although the Likudnik game plan, was written by American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) power-mad neocons, who fantasized that Israel could seize the "strategic initiative along its northern borders by engaging Hizballah, Syria, and Iran, as the principal agents of aggression in Lebanon," and suggested that after these wars, which would all be successful, of course -- Israel could reshape "the strategic balance in the Middle East" by attacking Saudi Arabia and Egypt. "Clean Break" is a mere six pages, and is a Zionist's wet dream... Into The Fire... They can't stop now. They wouldn't, even if they could. The neo-cons' thirst for blood has reached unquenchable proportions. No one has worked more feverishly for total Middle East war than the Weekly Standard's ghoulishly grinning editor, Bill Kristol, who wrote in his July 24 "It's Our War" that Hezbollah is intent on wiping Israel off the map for Iran, and now is the time to strike Iran's nuclear facilities. "Why wait?" Kristol asked. "Does anyone think a nuclear Iran can be contained? That the current regime will negotiate in good faith? It would be easier to act sooner rather than later. Yes, there would be repercussions—and they would be healthy ones, showing a strong America that has rejected further appeasement." Then there's Dick Cheney, the madman who pulls the levers, who is chillingly indifferent to suffering and -- being bloodless himself -- doesn't see what all the fuss is about. Cheney's plans go beyond just controlling the world's resources; he knows he won't be here much longer, so he's desperate to seize all the riches, if you will, and take them with him. In this administration, Cheney is the "go to" guy for arrogant, barbaric murder. According to journalist Seymour Hersh, whose article, "Watching Lebanon," will be published in the Aug. 21 issue of the New Yorker, Israeli officials came to Washington earlier this summer “to get a green light for the bombing operation and to find out how much the United States would bear.” Hersh writes that “Israel began with Cheney. It wanted to be sure that it had his support and the support of his office and the Middle East desk of the National Security Council.” After getting Cheney's blessing, Hersh said he was told, “persuading Bush was never a problem, and Condi Rice was on board.” And evangelical Zionists, such as Pat Robertson, who are lusting for Armeggedan, at last see an opportunity to rid the Holy Land of the Palestinians. Only after a crusade wherein the entire Middle East explodes in a tsunami of blood --only then will Robertson be swept up in glory, leaving the rest of us below to choke to death on depleted uranium dust and to drown in the blood of the innocent. Those of you who don't know Robertson are, well, damn lucky. Robertson makes Charles Manson look like a pussy. As far back as 1985, Robertson told his brain-dead followers that God wants all Palestinians exterminated. "God told the Israelites to kill them all -- men, women and children -- to destroy them," Robertson said. What are we to think of that? Robertson, God's most vocal confidant, says Palestinians are an abomination -- a contagion for which there is no cure and whose only function is to "cause trouble for the Israelites, and pull the Israelites away from God, and prevent the truth of God from reaching the Earth." He explained it was "more merciful" to kill Palestinians sooner rather than later because if they continue to reproduce, Israel will be burdened with having more to kill in the future. According to Robertson, the only way to look at such mass extinction is, "God, in love, took away a small number so that He might not have to take away a large number." Last, but not least, we have Israel's militant leaders -- and America's Decider, George Bush. The Zionists are very good at what they do, whether blowing things apart with US bombs and missiles or crushing everything in their path with US bulldozers. But don't take my word for it. In his book, "You Gentiles," Maurice Samuels (p.155) wrote, "We Jews, we are the destroyers and will remain the destroyers. Nothing you can do will meet our demands and needs. We will forever destroy because we want a world of our own." One has only to stumble through the ruins of Sabra, Shatilla, Jenin, Gaza and Qana -- to recall the torture, assassinations, collective punishment of civilians, destruction of infrastructure, denying sustenance to those dying of thirst and hunger -- to realize that Israel is the "cod piece" of the Middle East. The Zionists who control it make Charles Manson's mad dog look like a pussy. And, what of George Bush -- what part is he playing in all of this? It is incomprehensible to believe he is in charge of, even aware of, anything. In recent weeks, I have watched Bush, the man at the helm of the most powerful nation on earth, run and hide, blather and bumble his way thorugh fund-raising speeches, make an ass of himself at the G8 Summit gathering in Russia, crudely grope another world leader, and refuse to discuss anything more serious than "slicing the pig." Two weeks into the Lebanon crisis, wherein "Condi," as Bush crudely calls this nation's Secretary of State, lurched around the Middle East and was sent home empty-handed -- twice -- he was finally backed into a corner and asked about the bombs dropping on Lebanon and the Hezbollah rockets raining down on Israel. Bush responded inanely that Israel was merely exercising its right to defend itself," before launching into his familiar, Texas-style "Remember the 9-11 Alamo..." Are We Done Yet? These widely different factions have divergent goals but they need each other to achieve them, and their eyes are riveted on a single prize -- Iran. This oil-rich nation must be brought to its knees before the neo-cons can have their New World Order, before Cheney can control the world's resources, before Israel can have its final solution in the Holy Land, before Bush can spread freedom and democracy and death and rid the world of yet another safe haven for plotters and planners and evil terrorists.... Iran is all that is standing between true believers and their ascension into Heaven. The same people who lied us into the Iraq war are telling the same lies about Iran -- the WMDs are now nuclear bombs, and no UN resolution, no US Congress, no US media will stop the madness. They will have their war, knowing full well that an assault on a nation fully capable of retaliation will sign the death warrants of millions of innocents as well as of every US service member on the ground in the Middle East. Unfortunately, such losses carry little weight with all but a handful of the members of the US Congress and the majority of the American people who blindly support Zionist Israel and who advocate ethnic cleansing as a final solution to the problems of the Middle East. Edward Said, the late Palestinian-American theorist, wrote one month before the Iraq invasion, "We cannot in any way lend our silence to a policy of war that the White House has openly announced will include three to five hundred cruise missiles a day (800 of them during the first 48 hours of the war) raining down on the civilian population of Baghdad in order to produce "Shock and Awe", or even a human cataclysm that will produce ... a Hiroshima-style effect on the Iraqi people... What sort of God would want this to be a formulated and announced policy for His people? And what sort of God would claim that this was going to bring democracy and freedom to the people not only of Iraq but to the rest of the Middle East?" Said pleaded with the American people to speak out before it's too late. "Who knows what more evil will be done in the name of Good?" Said asked. "Every one of us must raise our voices, and march in protest, now and again and again. We need creative thinking and bold action to stave off the nightmares planned by a docile, professionalised staff in places like Washington and Tel Aviv and Baghdad. For if what they have in mind is what they call "greater security" then words have no meaning at all in the ordinary sense...The question is, how long can they keep getting away with it?" How long, indeed. Look around. They have come for the others. Only we the people remain, and most of us are blind to our shame, our national disgrace. If we do not raise our voices now and again and again, we will be done. Then, God help us, we will realize -- too late -- that we are all Charles Mansons now. © 2006 Sheila Samples Sheila Samples is an Oklahoma writer and a former civilian US Army Public Information Officer. She is a regular contributor for a variety of Internet sites. Contact her at: rsamples@sirinet.net. Schrödinger's cat,
self-fulfilling prophecies, and modern American journalism
If you took physics in high school or college, you probably learned about the "observer effect," often illustrated with the thought experiment of Schrödinger's Cat, in which something terrible either does or does not happen to little Tabby as she waits in her box with a canister of poison gas (science is ruthless, you know). To the outside world, Tabby exists in a state neither dead nor alive until the box is opened and she is observed, at which point, she takes on one state or the other, depending on whether it's her lucky day. The principle Schrödinger was illustrating is that -- in quantum mechanics, at least -- the act of observation itself inevitably affects the thing being observed. We were reminded of the potential effect of Schrödinger's principle this week. The nature of journalism is such that by casting their gaze upon an event, the news media almost inevitably influence how that event proceeds. By telling us what public opinion is, they influence how we think about our own beliefs and the place they hold among our fellow citizens. And by telling us what is going to happen, they often make the very course of events they are predicting more likely. While reporters may not be comfortable with the idea, the truth is that self-fulfilling prophecies occur constantly in the news media. For instance, when reporters decide one candidate is the "front-runner," he gets the lion's share of attention, which makes his victory seem likely, which better enables fundraising, which allows him to hire more staff and air more ads, and so on until that victory actually comes about. The candidate reporters choose to ignore as having little chance of winning will -- precisely because the press ignores him -- have little chance of winning. The events of last week, in which British authorities foiled what they said was a plot to blow up airplanes with liquid explosives, seemed again ripe for the observer effect to come into play. The media immediately began to lay the groundwork by which their own patterns of interpretation would serve to create yet another self-fulfilling prophecy. Within hours of the arrests, the media proceeded with Pavlovian predictability to raise the question of whether the thwarting of the alleged plot would provide a boost for President Bush in the polls. Some went so far as to simply assert that it would. Media Matters for America wrote:
In doing so, they repeated at least two familiar patterns: filtering virtually all major events through their "good for Bush?" lens and parroting the Republicans' dominant message -- a theme that may have secured Bush's re-election -- that the president is keeping you safe. Karl Rove himself could not have dictated a better response -- or rather, this is precisely the response that he presented when, earlier this year, he laid out the GOP's plan for holding onto Congress in November. The problems with the media's assumption that it's their role to ask this question seem beyond obvious, but since we have never shied away from stating the obvious, and since the media, by contrast, too often run from it, here they are: Problem 1: The
prediction/assertion can be self-fulfilling It's simple. When the media assert that a particular event -- in this case, the U.K. arrests -- will drive up Bush's poll numbers on the question of national security, they do several things: They suggest to the public that Bush played a significant role in thwarting the terror plot; they tell the public that his purported role is another example of his strength on terror; and they contribute invaluably to Rove's plan to make this election year about the war on terror rather than about any number of other issues -- including the Iraq war -- that Rove has decided, probably correctly, poll even worse for Republicans. If, in fact, Bush's poll numbers were to go up, in no small part because Americans are being told that Bush is strong on terror, that he played a vital role in averting the most heinous terror attack since 9-11, and that he is protecting them, the media would almost certainly tell themselves that they were right. The next time a national security-related event occurred, the media could have looked to this experience and said that "terror helps Bush." And, assuming this pattern held, they would be right again. Arianna Huffington explained the cycle in an August 13 post to the Huffington Post weblog, lighting into an August 11 New York Times article by reporter Adam Nagourney with the headline "Arrests Bolster G.O.P. Bid To Claim Security as Issue." Huffington wrote:
We said it was obvious -- the assertion that a national security-related event will raise Bush's poll numbers can help bring about a boost in Bush's poll numbers. Obvious, yes, but apparently not to some of our most prominent journalists and pundits. Problem 2: The
prediction/assertion is made possible by bad or no reporting
If there's a flaw in our analogy to the "observer effect," it is that it presumes that observation -- or, in this case, reporting -- is actually occurring. But in order to assert, or even suggest, that the U.K. arrests would give Bush a boost, the media necessarily eschewed reporting, because reporting -- learning facts, getting different points of view, analyzing the findings -- would have obliterated their premise. In suggesting or asserting that the U.K. arrests are helping or will help Bush, the media are not reporting; they are repeating. That Bush is strong on terror. That Bush played an important role in thwarting the attacks. That Bush's policies have made us safer. That, to paraphrase Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT), the Republicans make our country safer. We are not saying that any of those statements is false. We are merely saying that in simply asserting that the public will view Bush more favorably as a result of the U.K. arrests, the media must withhold from viewers and readers -- and presumably themselves -- contrary evidence and contrary viewpoints. They must not remind their audience that Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff has acknowledged that "we do not have evidence ... that the plotting [for the attack] was done in the United States" and that "we did not see any U.S. internal activity in this plot." In other words, the impact of U.S. domestic investigative activities on thwarting the U.K. plot was not significant. That doesn't mean that the United States did not play a role; but given how little information has been actually reported about the United States' role in the matter, it seems that it should be relevant in the media's conclusions about how the thwarted attack should affect public opinion of the president. In suggesting that the public will view Bush more favorably, the media must also ignore or disparage a report by NBC that the Bush administration rushed the Brits into making the arrests before they were ready. For their audience to be adequately frightened by the imminence of the threat and appropriately grateful that it was thwarted, the media must also ignore the same NBC report that none of the suspected terrorists had bought plane tickets, and that several lacked passports. To suggest that the thwarted plot should remind people of Bush's strength on terror, the media must ignore the catastrophe that is Iraq. They must internalize and echo the Republicans' argument that the U.K. arrests and the war in Iraq are all part of the same heroic effort. They must ignore the Democratic argument that the Iraq war has diverted badly needed resources from the real war on terror. To suggest that Bush has made us safer, they must ignore the Democrats' argument that we are less safe because the GOP has failed to implement the recommendations of the 9-11 Commission. To suggest that Bush has made us safer, they must ignore the ample evidence that both the Bush administration and congressional Republicans have failed to sufficiently protect against terrorist attacks, despite repeated warnings from terrorism experts, Democrats, and the 9-11 Commission. Problem 3: The prediction/assertion is apparently wrong If professional pride isn't enough to dissuade the media from repeating Republican spin on an issue as serious and consequential as national security, perhaps this will be: The media's predictions are wrong. Polling conducted after the U.K. arrests doesn't bear out the claims of a Bush bounce. As Media Matters wrote:
Pollsters John Zogby and Andrew Kohut had an explanation for the numbers, which should come as no surprise, except maybe to the media who predicted otherwise: As Media Matters pointed out, they both argued that the U.K. terror arrests had a negligible impact on public opinion because the Iraq war weighs far more heavily on the public consciousness. It remains to be seen whether the media will consider the public's concern with the disastrous situation in Iraq in making predictions in the future, or whether they will disregard the ample evidence of that preoccupation, as they continue to disregard much of significance on the question of our national security. All of which is to say that every prophecy need not be self-fulfilling, and though it may not occur in physics, in politics sometimes the thing being observed -- the public, in this case -- is smart enough not to go along with what it is being told it will do. |